Buch, Englisch, 344 Seiten, Format (B × H): 157 mm x 235 mm, Gewicht: 680 g
ISBN: 978-1-118-49456-1
Verlag: Turner Publishing Company
When it comes to investment models and theories of how markets work, convenience usually trumps reality. The simple fact is that many revered investment theories and market models are flatly wrong--that is, if we insist that they work in the real world. Unfounded assumptions, erroneous theories, unrealistic models, cognitive biases, emotional foibles, and unsubstantiated beliefs all combine to lead investors astray--professionals as well as novices. In this engaging new book, Jack Schwager, bestselling author of Market Wizards and The New Market Wizards, takes aim at the most perniciously pervasive academic precepts, money management canards, market myths and investor errors. Like so many ducks in a shooting gallery, Schwager picks them off, one at a time, revealing the truth about many of the fallacious assumptions, theories, and beliefs at the core of investment theory and practice.
* A compilation of the most insidious, fundamental investment errors the author has observed over his long and distinguished career in the markets
* Brings to light the fallacies underlying many widely held academic precepts, professional money management methodologies, and investment behaviors
* A sobering dose of real-world insight for investment professionals and a highly readable source of information and guidance for general readers interested in investment, trading, and finance
* Spans both traditional and alternative investment classes, covering both basic and advanced topics
* As in his best-selling Market Wizard series, Schwager manages the trick of covering material that is pertinent to professionals, yet writing in a style that is clear and accessible to the layman
Fachgebiete
- Wirtschaftswissenschaften Finanzsektor & Finanzdienstleistungen Internationale Finanzmärkte
- Wirtschaftswissenschaften Wirtschaftswissenschaften Wirtschaft: Sachbuch, Ratgeber
- Wirtschaftswissenschaften Finanzsektor & Finanzdienstleistungen Börse, Rohstoffe
- Wirtschaftswissenschaften Volkswirtschaftslehre Internationale Wirtschaft Internationale Finanzmärkte
Weitere Infos & Material
Foreword xv
Prologue xvii
Part One Markets, Return, and Risk
Chapter 1 Expert Advice 3
Comedy Central versus CNBC 3
The Elves Index 6
Paid Advice 8
Investment Insights 11
Chapter 2 The Deficient Market Hypothesis 13
The Efficient Market Hypothesis and Empirical Evidence 14
The Price Is Not Always Right 15
The Market Is Collapsing; Where Is the News? 24
The Disconnect between Fundamental Developments and Price Moves 27
Price Moves Determine Financial News 37
Is It Luck or Skill? Exhibit A: The Renaissance Medallion Track Record 39
The Flawed Premise of the Efficient Market Hypothesis: A Chess Analogy 40
Some Players Are Not Even Trying to Win 42
The Missing Ingredient 44
Right for the Wrong Reason: Why Markets Are Difficult to Beat 47
Diagnosing the Flaws of the Efficient Market Hypothesis 49
Why the Efficient Market Hypothesis Is Destined for the Dustbin of Economic Theory 50
Investment Insights 52
Chapter 3 The Tyranny of Past Returns 55
S&P Performance in Years Following High- and Low-Return Periods 57
Implications of High- and Low-Return Periods on Longer-Term Investment Horizons 59
Is There a Benefit in Selecting the Best Sector? 63
Hedge Funds: Relative Performance of the Past Highest-Return Strategy 70
Why Do Past High-Return Sectors and Strategy Styles Perform So Poorly? 77
Wait a Minute. Do We Mean to Imply. ? 78
Investment Insights 85
Chapter 4 The Mismeasurement of Risk 87
Worse Than Nothing 87
Volatility as a Risk Measure 88
The Source of the Problem 92
Hidden Risk 95
Evaluating Hidden Risk 100
The Confusion between Volatility and Risk 103
The Problem with Value at Risk (VaR) 105
Asset Risk: Why Appearances May Be Deceiving, or Price Matters 107
Investment Insights 109
Chapter 5 Why Volatility Is Not Just about Risk, and the Case of Leveraged ETFs 111
Leveraged ETFs: What You Get May Not Be What You Expect 112
Investment Insights 121
Chapter 6 Track Record Pitfalls 123
Hidden Risk 123
The Data Relevance Pitfall 124
When Good Past Performance Is Bad 126
The Apples-and-Oranges Pitfall 128
Longer Track Records Could Be Less Relevant 129
Investment Insights 132
Chapter 7 Sense and Nonsense about Pro Forma Statistics 133
Investment Insights 136
Chapter 8 How to Evaluate Past Performance 137
Why Return Alone Is Meaningless 137
Risk-Adjusted Return Measures 142
Visual Performance Evaluation 156
Investment Insights 166
Chapter 9 Correlation: Facts and Fallacies 169
Correlation Defined 169
Correlation Shows Linear Relationships 170
The Coefficient of Determination (r2) 171
Spurious (Nonsense) Correlations 171
Misconceptions about Correlation 173
Focusing on the Down Months 176
Correlation versus Beta 179
Investment Insights 182
Part Two Hedge Funds as an Investment
Chapter 10 The Origin of Hedge Funds 185
Chapter 11 Hedge Funds 101 195
Differences between Hedge Funds and Mutual Funds 196
Types of Hedge Funds 200
Correlation with Equities 210
Chapter 12 Hedge Fund Investing: Perception and Reality 211
The Rationale for Hedge Fund Investment 213
Advantages of Incorporating Hedge Funds in a Portfolio 214
The Special Case of Managed Futures 215
Single-Fund Risk 217
Investment Insights 220
Chapter 13 Fear of Hedge Funds: It's Only Human 223
A Parable 223
Fear of Hedge Funds 225
Chapter 14 The Paradox of Hedge Fund of Funds Underperformance 231
Investment Insights 236
Chapter 15 The Leverage Fallacy 239
The Folly of Arbitrary Investment Rules 241
Leverage and Investor Preference 242
When Leverage Is Dangerous 243
Investment Insights 245
Chapter 16 Managed Accounts: An Investor-Friendly Alternative to Funds 247
The Essential Difference between Managed Accounts and Funds 248
The Major Advantages of a Managed Account 249
Individual Managed Accounts versus Indir
