State and Local Population Projections

Methodology and Analysis
2002
ISBN: 978-0-306-46492-8
Verlag: Springer Netherlands

Buch, Englisch, 426 Seiten, HC runder Rücken kaschiert, Format (B × H): 160 mm x 241 mm, Gewicht: 1780 g

Reihe: The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis

The initial plans for this book sprang from a late-afternoon conversation in a hotel bar. All three authors were attending the 1996 meeting of the Population As- ciation of America in New Orleans. While nursing drinks and expounding on a variety of topics, we began talking about our current research projects. It so happened that all three of us had been entertaining the notion of writing a book on state and local population projections. Recognizing the enormity of the project for a single author, we quickly decided to collaborate. Had we not decided to work together, it is unlikely that this book ever would have been written. The last comprehensive treatment of state and local population projections was Don Pittenger’s excellent work Projecting State and Local Populations (1976). Many changes affecting the production of population projections have occurred since that time. Technological changes have led to vast increases in computing power, new data sources, the development of GIS, and the creation of the Internet. The procedures for applying a number of projection methods have changed considerably, and several completely new methods have been developed.

Zielgruppe

Research

Autoren/Hrsg.

Smith, Stanley K.

Swanson, David A.

Tayman, Jeff

Fachgebiete

• Sozialwissenschaften Soziologie | Soziale Arbeit Soziologie Allgemein Demographie, Demoskopie
• Wirtschaftswissenschaften Volkswirtschaftslehre Wirtschaftspolitik, politische Ökonomie
• Wirtschaftswissenschaften Volkswirtschaftslehre Volkswirtschaftslehre Allgemein Arbeitsmarkt
• Medizin | Veterinärmedizin Medizin | Public Health | Pharmazie | Zahnmedizin Medizin, Gesundheitswesen Public Health, Gesundheitsmanagement, Gesundheitsökonomie, Gesundheitspolitik
• Geowissenschaften Geographie | Raumplanung Geographie: Sachbuch, Reise
• Mathematik | Informatik Mathematik Stochastik Mathematische Statistik
• Interdisziplinäres Wissenschaften Wissenschaften: Forschung und Information Datenanalyse, Datenverarbeitung
• Geowissenschaften Geographie | Raumplanung Geographie: Allgemeines, Karten & Atlanten

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Fundamentals of Population Analysis.- Overview of the Cohort-Component Method.- Mortality.- Fertility.- Migration.- Implementing the Cohort-Component Method.- Trend Extrapolation Methods.- Structural Models I.- Structural Models II.- Special Adjustments.- Evaluating Projections.- Forecast Accuracy and Bias.- A Practical Guide to Small-Area Projections.- New Directions in Population Projection Research.