Brüggemann / Pohlmeier / Smolny Economic Forecasts

Themenheft Heft 1/Bd. 231 (2011) Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik
1. Auflage 2016
ISBN: 978-3-11-051084-3
Verlag: De Gruyter
Format: PDF
Kopierschutz: Adobe DRM (»Systemvoraussetzungen)

E-Book, Englisch, 176 Seiten

Forecasts guide decisions in all areas of economics and finance. Economic policy makers base their decisions on business cycle forecasts, investment decisions of firms are based on demand forecasts, and portfolio managers try to outperform the market based on financial market forecasts. Forecasts extract relevant information from the past and help to reduce the inherent uncertainty of the future. The topic of this special issue of the Journal of Economics and Statistics is the theory and practise of forecasting and forecast evaluation and an overview of the state of the art of forecasting.

Autoren/Hrsg.

Brüggemann, Ralf

Pohlmeier, Winfried

Smolny, Werner

Fachgebiete

• Wirtschaftswissenschaften Volkswirtschaftslehre Volkswirtschaftslehre Allgemein Wirtschaftsprognose

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Frontmatter -- Inhalt / Contents -- Special Issue on Economic Forecasts: Guest Editorial -- Abhandlungen / Original Papers -- Information or Institution? -- Forecasting with Factor Models Estimated on Large Datasets: A Review of the Recent Literature and Evidence for German GDP -- A Factor Model for Euro-area Short-term Inflation Analysis -- Combining Survey Forecasts and Time Series Models: The Case of the Euribor -- Predictive Ability of Business Cycle Indicators under Test -- Forecasting Nonlinear Aggregates and Aggregates with Time-varying Weights -- Forecasting Multivariate Volatility using the VARFIMA Model on Realized Covariance Cholesky Factors -- Practice and Prospects of Medium-term Economic Forecasting -- Buchbesprechungen / Book Reviews