E-Book, Englisch, 216 Seiten
Hamm / Seitz / Werding Demographic Change in Germany
1. Auflage 2007
ISBN: 978-3-540-68137-3
Verlag: Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Format: PDF
Kopierschutz: 1 - PDF Watermark
The Economic and Fiscal Consequences
E-Book, Englisch, 216 Seiten
ISBN: 978-3-540-68137-3
Verlag: Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Format: PDF
Kopierschutz: 1 - PDF Watermark
This book provides an up-to-date summary of the consequences of demographic aging for labor markets, financial markets, economic growth, social security schemes and public finances in Germany, essentially reflecting the present state of knowledge in any of these areas. All contributions are written by leading experts in their fields and are based on results that emerge at the forefront of current research.
Autoren/Hrsg.
Weitere Infos & Material
1;Preface;5
2;Contents;9
3;Contributing Authors;13
4;Consequences of Demographic Change in Germany: An Introduction;15
4.1;1 Motivation for this Book;15
4.2;2 The Contributions: An Overview;17
5;Demographic Change in Germany;22
5.1;1 Addressing the Issue;22
5.2;2 The Demographic Development in Germany;23
5.3;3 Future Trends Until 2050;30
5.4;4 Regional Aspects of Population Dynamics;35
5.5;5 Implications for Society, Economy, and Policy Makers: Challenge or Catastrophe?;43
5.6;References;45
6;The Effects of Aging on Labor Markets and Economic Growth;47
6.1;1 Introduction;47
6.2;2 Main Determinants of Economic Growth;48
6.3;3 Future Demographics and Growth;52
6.4;4 Long-Term Growth Scenarios;62
6.5;5 Conclusions;73
6.6;References;75
7;The Impact of Global Aging on Capital Markets and Housing;76
7.1;1 Introduction;76
7.2;2 The Asset Meltdown Debate;77
7.3;3 Aging and the Markets for Productive Capital;80
7.4;4 Aging and Housing Markets;91
7.5;5 Summary and Outlook;96
7.6;References;98
8;Social Insurance: How to Pay for Pensions and Health Care?;100
8.1;1 Introduction;100
8.2;2 Methodology;102
8.3;3 Assumptions and Intermediate Results;105
8.4;4 Projections for Individual Branches of Social Insurance;108
8.5;5 Sustainability of the Social Insurance System;123
8.6;6 Policy Options;133
8.7;References;136
9;The Impact of Demographic Change on Fiscal Policy in Germany;140
9.1;1 Introduction;140
9.2;2 Institutional Framework;141
9.3;3 Methodology;148
9.4;4 Data and Empirical Results;156
9.5;5 Summary and Conclusions;172
9.6;References;173
10;Education and Fertility in Germany;175
10.1;1 Introduction;175
10.2;2 Education and Fertility;176
10.3;3 Data;181
10.4;4 Descriptive Results;182
10.5;5 Analysis of the Event-History Model;186
10.6;6 Conclusions;190
10.7;References;193
11;Perspectives on the Political Governance of Demographic Change;198
11.1;1 Introduction;198
11.2;2 Demographic Challenges in Germany;199
11.3;3 Challenges for Governance of Demographic Change;204
11.4;4 Budget Consolidation as a Core Challenge;205
11.5;5 Key Factors of Success for Good Governance of Demographic Change;208
11.6;6 Conclusion;210
12;Subject Index;213
13;Name Index;220
