Rezaei Iran's Foreign Policy After the Nuclear Agreement

Politics of Normalizers and Traditionalists
1. Auflage 2018
ISBN: 978-3-319-76789-5
Verlag: Springer International Publishing
Format: PDF
Kopierschutz: 1 - PDF Watermark

E-Book, Englisch, 261 Seiten

Reihe: Progress in Mathematics

The book offers the first systematic account of Iran's foreign policy following the nuclear agreement (JCPOA) of July 14, 2015. The author evaluates in what ways the JCPOA, in conjunction with the dramatic changes taking shape in the international order, have affected Iran's foreign policy. Known as Normalizers, the moderate leadership under President Hassan Rouhani had planned to normalize Iran's foreign relations by curtailing terrorism and reintegrate Iran into the community of nations. Their hardline opponents, the Principalists, rejected the JCPOA as a tool of subjection to the West and insisted on exporting the Islamist revolution, a source of much destabilization and terror in the region and beyond. The project also analyzes the struggle between Normalizers and their hardline opponents with regards to global and regional issues and Iran's foreign policy towards global powers including the U.S., Russia, EU, and regional countries including Iraq, Syria, Israel, Saudi Arabia and Turkey.

Farhad Rezaei is Senior Policy Analyst at the Center for Iranian Studies (IRAM), Ankara, Turkey.

Autoren/Hrsg.

Rezaei, Farhad

Inhaltsverzeichnis

1;Contents;7
2;About the Author;10
3;Chapter 1: The Negotiated Political Order and the Making of Iran’s Foreign Policy;11
3.1;The Negotiated Political Order: A Precarious Balancing Act;16
3.2;Foreign Policy Decision-Making: Between Idealism and Realism;22
3.3;Beyond the JCPOA: Normalization and Its Challenges;26
3.4;Conclusion;28
3.5;References;29
4;Chapter 2: Iran and the United States: The Rise and Fall of the Brief Détente;31
4.1;Implementing the JCPOA: The Making or Breaking of Normalization;37
4.2;Limiting Terror and Military Interventions: Mission Impossible?;44
4.3;Improving Iran’s Human Right Record: Another Mission Impossible?;50
4.4;Conclusion;54
4.5;References;55
5;Chapter 3: Iran and Russia: Completing the Pivot to the East?;61
5.1;Building an Economic and Strategic Alliance with Vladimir Putin;63
5.2;Laying the Foundations for a Russian–Iranian Condominium in Syria;72
5.3;The Russian–Iranian Strategy of Preserving the “Binary Option:” Fighting the Anti-Assad Insurgents;75
5.4;The Russian–Iranian Relations in the Trump Era: Future Prospect for the Condominium;80
5.5;Conclusion;83
5.6;References;84
6;Chapter 4: Iran and the European Union: Challenges and Opportunities;92
6.1;The EU and the Path Toward the JCPOA: From Mediator to a Key Player;94
6.2;Restarting the EU–Iran Relations: The Economic Dimension;97
6.3;The EU to the Defense: Fighting the American Sanctions;104
6.4;EU’s Human Rights Convention and Iran: A Discordant Tone in a Warm Relationship;111
6.5;Conclusion;115
6.6;References;115
7;Chapter 5: Iran and Iraq: The Lebanonization Project in the Balance;121
7.1;Lebanonization of Iraq: Laying the Foundations of the Project;123
7.2;IRGC and the Making of the Islamic State in Iraq;132
7.3;Toward a Shiite–Sunni–Kurdish Federation?;137
7.4;Conclusion;143
7.5;References;145
8;Chapter 6: Iran and Syria: Leveraging the Victory?;149
8.1;From Arab Spring to Civil War;153
8.2;From a Neo-Protectorate to a Syrian Federation?;162
8.3;Conclusion;165
8.4;References;166
9;Chapter 7: Iran and Saudi Arabia: The Struggle for Regional Hegemony and Islamic Primacy;171
9.1;The Arab Spring in the Gulf: From Popular Protest to Civil War;174
9.2;Rouhani’s Short Détente with Saudi Arabia: The War in Yemen as a Spoiler;176
9.3;The Trump Administration: Tilting the Balance Toward Saudi Arabia;183
9.4;Conclusion;190
9.5;References;191
10;Chapter 8: Iran and Turkey: Frenemies for Ever?;196
10.1;Beyond the Kurds: Working Out the Kinks in the Bilateral Relation;201
10.2;The Arab Spring: Enemies More Than Friends;203
10.3;Operation Euphrates Shield: The View from Ankara and Tehran;208
10.4;The Frenemies Endgame: Iran–Turkish Space—Sharing in the Middle East?;211
10.5;Conclusion;214
10.6;References;215
11;Chapter 9: Iran and Israel: Taking on the “Zionist Enemy”;221
11.1;Rouhani’s Quest to Change the Attitude to Israel: Realism and Idealism on a Collision Course;227
11.2;Bolstering the Anti-Israel Proxies: Hezbollah, Hamas, and Palestinian Islamic Jihad;231
11.3;Cumulative Deterrence and “War Between Wars”: IDF’s Response to Asymmetrical Warfare;237
11.4;The End-Game in Syria: Israel’s Gains and Losses;240
11.5;Conclusion;242
11.6;References;243
12;Chapter 10: Conclusions;249
13;Index;253