Saaty / Kearns / Rodin Analytical Planning

The Organization of System
1. Auflage 2014
ISBN: 978-1-4831-5396-4
Verlag: Elsevier Science & Techn.
Format: PDF
Kopierschutz: 1 - PDF Watermark

E-Book, Englisch, 216 Seiten, Web PDF

Analytical Planning: The Organization of Systems deals with systems and planning and suggests a methodological tool for integrating the two. This book presents the basic ideas behind complexity, systems, hierarchies, and prioritization and describes planning as a unique form of decision making with illustrations of some prominent philosophical and methodological approaches. It highlights some shortcomings of traditional approaches to planning and shows how these can be addressed by the systems approach. This monograph consists of seven chapters and opens with a discussion on the nature of complexity and describes an approach that facilitates the use of creativity and experience to structure complex problems. The next chapter explains the rationale for systems thinking and how reductionism works. The Analytic Hierarchy Process is then considered, along with its relationship to some of the properties of systems. The remaining chapters focus on ways of thinking about planning and philosophies of planning; strategic planning; and the applicability of the Analytic Hierarchy Process to benefit-cost analysis and resource allocation. This book is intended for managers, decision makers, and planners, as well as researchers and practitioners in applied mathematics and computer science.

Autoren/Hrsg.

Saaty, Thomas L.

Kearns, Kevin P.

Rodin, E. Y.

Inhaltsverzeichnis

1;Front Cover;1
2;Analytical Planning: The Organization of Systems;4
3;Copyright Page;5
4;Table of Contents;8
5;Preface;6
6;PART I: Systems and Complexity;10
6.1;CHAPTER 1.
Complexity;12
6.1.1;1. Introduction;12
6.1.2;2. Complexity;13
6.1.3;3. Examples of Complex Problems;14
6.1.4;4. Need for a Broader World View;16
6.1.5;References;17
6.1.6;Suggested Readings;18
6.1.7;Books on Systems Theory;18
6.1.8;Journals;20
6.2;CHAPTER 2.
Systems;21
6.2.1;1. The Rationale for Systems Thinking;21
6.2.2;2. Causal Explanation—How Reductionism Works;22
6.2.3;3. Systems Theory Past and Present;24
6.2.4;4. The Conceptual Value of Systems Theory;26
6.2.5;References;27
6.2.6;Suggested Readings;27
6.3;CHAPTER 3.
The Analytic Hierarchy Process;28
6.3.1;1. Introduction;28
6.3.2;2. The Principle of Identity and Decomposition;29
6.3.3;3. The Principle of Discrimination and Comparative Judgments;31
6.3.4;4. Synthesis of Priorities;39
6.3.5;5. A Summary of Steps in the AHP;47
6.3.6;6. Hierarchies as Representations of Complexity;48
6.3.7;7. Some Justification for the 1-9 Scale;53
6.3.8;8. Group Judgments and Variable Judgments;55
6.3.9;9. Measuring Performance;55
6.3.10;10. Additional Applications of the AHP;56
6.3.11;11. Comments on Dependence;61
6.3.12;12. Comparison With Other Methods;65
6.3.13;13. Conclusion;69
6.3.14;References;70
6.3.15;Suggested Readings;71
6.4;CHAPTER 4. Systems Characteristics and The Analytic Hierarchy Process;72
6.4.1;1. Introduction;72
6.4.2;2. Purpose;72
6.4.3;3. Functions;78
6.4.4;4. Flows;79
6.4.5;5. Structures;81
6.4.6;6. Characterization of Open Systems;83
6.4.7;7. Prerequisites for an Effective Systems Methodology;88
6.4.8;8. The Object of Systems Study: Design and Control;90
6.4.9;9. On Designing Adaptive Systems;93
6.4.10;References;94
6.4.11;Suggested Readings;95
7;PART II:
Strategic Planning;96
7.1;CHAPTER 5. Current Theories of Planning;98
7.1.1;1. Introduction: To Plan or Not to Plan?;98
7.1.2;2. Ways of Thinking About Planning;99
7.1.3;3. A Definition of Planning;104
7.1.4;4. Philosophies of Planning;107
7.1.5;5. Conclusion;135
7.1.6;References;136
7.1.7;Suggested Readings;138
7.2;CHAPTER 6.
Strategic Planning;142
7.2.1;1. Introduction;142
7.2.2;2. The Planning Process;143
7.2.3;3. The Forward-Backward Planning Process;143
7.2.4;4. Rationale for the Forward-Backward Planning Process;145
7.2.5;5. Combining the Forward and Backward Processes;145
7.2.6;6. Summary of Forward-Backward Analysis;148
7.2.7;7. Forward Planning Example: Future of Higher Education in the United States (1985-2000);149
7.2.8;8. Backward Planning Example with Program Selection and Allocation of Resources for Commercial Power Generation Engineering;160
7.2.9;9. Forward-Backward Planning for a Consumer
Products Manufacturer;163
7.2.10;10. Risk and Uncertainty;174
7.2.11;11. The Future of Synthetic Transportation Fuels;176
7.2.12;12. Conclusion;184
7.2.13;References;185
7.2.14;Suggested Readings;186
7.3;CHAPTER 7. Benefit-Cost Analysis and Resource Allocation;187
7.3.1;1. Introduction;187
7.3.2;2. Benefit-Cost Analysis: Traditional and AHP Approaches;188
7.3.3;3. Resource Allocation;195
7.3.4;4. Conclusion;207
7.3.5;References;208
7.3.6;Suggested Readings;208
7.3.7;Other Books on Benefit-Cost Analysis and Resource Allocation;209
8;Author Index;210
9;Subject Index;214