Wittmann Agent-Based Models of Energy Investment Decisions

1. Auflage 2008
ISBN: 978-3-7908-2004-1
Verlag: Physica-Verlag
Format: PDF
Kopierschutz: Adobe DRM (»Systemvoraussetzungen)

E-Book, Englisch, 113 Seiten

As societies face the challenge of securing an efficient and environmentally sound energy supply, researchers have strived to determine the future development of energy consumption, infrastructure and technology endowment. This book proposes a new agent-based approach to studying the development of urban energy systems. Decisions of private and commercial investors and operators are modeled using a bounded rational decision model which are parameterized by socio-economic data.

Autoren/Hrsg.

Wittmann, Tobias

Inhaltsverzeichnis

1;Dedication;6
2;Abstract;7
3;Contents;8
4;List of Abbreviations, Symbols and Indices;11
4.1;Abbreviations;11
4.2;Symbols;11
4.3;Indices;12
5;1 Drivers of Change and Energy Models;13
5.1;1.1 Introduction;13
5.2;1.2 Drivers of Change;14
5.3;1.3 Energy Models – a Review of the State of the Art;21
5.4;1.4 Motivation and Research Questions;23
6;2 Model Design;25
6.1;2.1 Introduction;25
6.2;2.2 Users and Intentions;25
6.3;2.3 Geographical and Socio-economic Scope;26
6.4;2.4 The Layer Concept;28
6.5;2.5 Discussion;40
7;3 Private Actor Model;42
7.1;3.1 Introduction;42
7.2;3.2 Private Energy Investment Decisions;43
7.3;3.3 Bounded Rational Decision Models;47
7.4;3.4 Modeling Private Energy Investment Decisions;52
7.5;3.5 Results;62
7.6;3.6 Discussion;75
8;4 Commercial Actor Model;78
8.1;4.1 Introduction;78
8.2;4.2 Commercial Energy Investment Decisions;79
8.3;4.3 Aggregation of the Firm;84
8.4;4.4 Decisions Model;90
8.5;4.5 Application and Results;93
8.6;4.6 Discussion;103
9;5 Conclusions;106
9.1;5.1 Introduction;106
9.2;5.2 Discussion of the Model Design;106
9.3;5.3 Outlook;108
10;Appendix;110
10.1;A.1 Private Actor Model;110
10.2;A.2 Commercial Actor Model;116
11;References;118