Buch, Englisch, Band 24, 316 Seiten, Format (B × H): 167 mm x 244 mm, Gewicht: 1440 g
Reihe: The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis
Buch, Englisch, Band 24, 316 Seiten, Format (B × H): 167 mm x 244 mm, Gewicht: 1440 g
Reihe: The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis
ISBN: 978-90-481-8896-3
Verlag: Springer
In addressing these issues, this book adopts a Bayesian statistical perspective, which allows for a formal incorporation of expert judgement, while describing uncertainty in a coherent and explicit manner. No prior knowledge of Bayesian statistics is assumed. The outcomes are discussed from the point of view of forecast users (decision makers), with the aim to show the relevance and usefulness of the presented methods in practical applications.
Zielgruppe
Research
Fachgebiete
- Sozialwissenschaften Soziologie | Soziale Arbeit Soziologie Allgemein Empirische Sozialforschung, Statistik
- Sozialwissenschaften Politikwissenschaft Regierungspolitik Migrations- & Minderheitenpolitik
- Sozialwissenschaften Ethnologie | Volkskunde Volkskunde Minderheiten, Interkulturelle & Multikulturelle Fragen
- Sozialwissenschaften Soziologie | Soziale Arbeit Soziologie Allgemein Demographie, Demoskopie
Weitere Infos & Material
List of tables and figures.- Part I. Introduction.- Part II. Explaining and forecasting migration.- Part III. Examples of Bayesian migration predictions.- Part IV. Perspectives of forecast makers and users.- Part V. Conclusion.- Acknowledgements.- References.- Subject Index.- Index of Names.- Annex A. Data sources and the preparatory work.- Annex B. WinBUGS code used in the presented Bayesian forecasts.- Annex C. Bayesian forecasts of selected migration flows in Europe.