Russian Warfare in the 21st Century

An Incentive-Opportunity Intervention Model
1. Auflage 2025
ISBN: 978-1-032-75917-3
Verlag: Routledge

Buch, Englisch, 292 Seiten, Format (B × H): 161 mm x 240 mm, Gewicht: 605 g

Reihe: Routledge Studies in Security and Conflict Management

This book provides a comprehensive analysis of Russia's foreign policy in gray zone conflicts, with a particular focus on its interventions in Ukraine.

Challenging conventional views, the book contends that Russia's use of varied gray zone tactics is influenced by both system-level incentives and domestic-level opportunities, which are integrated here into the Incentive-Opportunity Intervention (IOI) Model. The book examines case studies including Abkhazia, Crimea, Odesa, Kharkiv, and the Donbas, demonstrating how local ethnic-based movements and perceptions of regional retreat shape Moscow's coercive strategies. It highlights the reactive nature of Russia's tactics, driven by perceived threats to its protector role, and the significant role of ethnic and political dynamics in the region. The study underscores the importance of understanding these motivations for effective conflict resolution and suggests that protecting minority rights could mitigate such interventions. Policy recommendations emphasize the need for nuanced approaches that address both geopolitical and local dynamics. Ultimately, the book calls for future research to apply the IOI Model to other great powers, enhance the generalizability and applicability of the findings, and highlight the potential for multilateral coordination in promoting minority rights as a strategy for conflict prevention.

This book will be of much interest to students and policy practitioners working on Russian foreign policy, international security, Eastern European politics, and International Relations

Zielgruppe

Postgraduate, Professional Reference, and Undergraduate Advanced

Autoren/Hrsg.

Belo, Dani

Fachgebiete

• Geisteswissenschaften Geschichtswissenschaft Weltgeschichte & Geschichte einzelner Länder und Gebietsräume Europäische Geschichte
• Sozialwissenschaften Politikwissenschaft Internationale Beziehungen
• Sozialwissenschaften Politikwissenschaft Militärwesen Nationale und Internationale Sicherheits- und Verteidigungspolitik
• Sozialwissenschaften Politikwissenschaft Politische Kultur Staatsbürgerkunde, Staatsbürgerschaft, Zivilgesellschaft
• Geisteswissenschaften Geschichtswissenschaft Geschichtliche Themen Militärgeschichte

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Chapter 1: The Value of Combining System and Domestic Dimensions to Explain Gray Zone Conflict Behavior Chapter 2: Incentive-Opportunity Intervention Model: Combining System Incentives and Domestic Costs of Gray Zone Coercion Chapter 3: Russia’s Campaign in Abkhazia: Assessing the High Incentive and Opportunity for Gray Zone Coercion Chapter 4: Russia’s Gray Zone Engagement in Crimea: The Cost-Benefit Analysis of Deploying the “Little Green Men” Chapter 5: Russia’s Gray Zone Activities in Odesa: Assessing the Low Incentive and Opportunity for Coercion Chapter 6: Russia’s Gray Zone Engagement in Kharkiv: Assessing the Low Incentive and Opportunity for Coercion Chapter 7: Russia’s Restrained Gray Zone Coercion in the Donbas: A Function of Moderate Benefits and Uncertain Costs Chapter 8: Russia’s Militarized Campaign in Ukraine After 2022: A Continuation of an Old Pattern Chapter 9: Conclusion

Über Autor(innen)

Dani Belo is an Assistant Professor of International Relations and Security and Director of the Global Policy Horizons Research Lab, Webster University in St. Louis, USA.