Epstein The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, Revised Edition

1. Auflage 2014
ISBN: 978-0-08-057184-3
Verlag: Elsevier Science & Techn.
Format: PDF
Kopierschutz: 1 - PDF Watermark

E-Book, Englisch, 467 Seiten, Web PDF

[Man] invented a concept that has since been variously viewed as a vice, a crime, a business, a pleasure, a type of magic, a disease, a folly, a weakness, a form of sexual substitution, an expression of the human instinct. He invented gambling.
Richard Epstein's classic book on gambling and its mathematical analysis covers the full range of games from penny matching, to blackjack and other casino games, to the stock market (including Black-Scholes analysis). He even considers what light statistical inference can shed on the study of paranormal phenomena. Epstein is witty and insightful, a pleasure to dip into and read and rewarding to study.

Autoren/Hrsg.

Epstein, Richard A.

Inhaltsverzeichnis

1;Front Cover;1
2;The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic;4
3;Copyright Page;5
4;Table of Contents;8
5;PREFACE TO REVISED EDITION;12
6;PREFACE TO FIRST EDITION;14
7;CHAPTER ONE. KUBEIAGENESIS;18
7.1;Suggested References;27
8;CHAPTER TWO. MATHEMATICAL PRELIMINARIES;29
8.1;The meaning of probability;29
8.2;The calculus of probability;31
8.3;Statistics;41
8.4;Game theory;50
8.5;Suggested references;58
9;CHAPTER THREE. FUNDAMENTAL PRINCIPLES OF A THEORY OF GAMBLING;60
9.1;Decision making and utility;60
9.2;The basic theorems;69
9.3;Suggested references;90
10;CHAPTER FOUR. COINS, WHEELS, AND ODDMENTS;92
10.1;Biased coins;92
10.2;Statistical properties of coins;94
10.3;Coin matching;102
10.4;Coin games;107
10.5;Diverse recreations;117
10.6;Casino games;126
10.7;Problems;139
10.8;Suggested references;140
11;CHAPTER FIVE. COUPS AND GAMES WITH DICE;142
11.1;A brief chronicle;142
11.2;Detection of Bias;144
11.3;Probability problems with dice;148
11.4;Formal dice games;152
11.5;Casino games;162
11.6;Related games;172
11.7;Dice divertissements;173
11.8;Suggested references;173
12;CHAPTER SIX. THE PLAY OF THE CARDS;175
12.1;Origins and species;175
12.2;Randomness and shuffling;177
12.3;Card probabilities;189
12.4;Simple card games;194
12.5;Matching problems;197
12.6;Formal card games;203
12.7;Casino games;205
12.8;Card games with skill;213
12.9;Poker problems;229
12.10;Suggested references;230
13;CHAPTER SEVEN. BLACKJACK;232
13.1;Memorabilia;232
13.2;Rules;233
13.3;Pertinent mathematics;235
13.4;Optimal strategies;242
13.5;Possible improvements;265
13.6;Blackjack variations;266
13.7;Suggested references;267
14;CHAPTER EIGHT. CONTRACT BRIDGE;269
14.1;The family tree;269
14.2;Assumptions;270
14.3;Distributional probabilities;271
14.4;Residual probabilities;279
14.5;Evaluation systems;281
14.6;Bidding;286
14.7;The play;287
14.8;Expectations;291
14.9;Bridge-playing computers;293
14.10;Bridge mutants;294
14.11;Suggested references;296
15;CHAPTER NINE. WEIGHTED STATISTICAL LOGIC AND STATISTICAL GAMES;297
15.1;Strategic selection;297
15.2;Horse racing;304
15.3;The stock market;312
15.4;War games;320
15.5;Games with information lag;323
15.6;Hide-and-seek games;328
15.7;Dueling;332
15.8;Miscellaneous statistical games;341
15.9;Inquizition;348
15.10;Suggested references;349
16;CHAPTER TEN. GAMES OF PURE SKILL AND COMPETITIVE COMPUTERS;354
16.1;Games of pure skill;354
16.2;Computer programs for board games;392
16.3;Two board problems;404
16.4;Suggested references;404
17;CHAPTER ELEVEN. FALLACIES AND SOPHISTRIES;408
17.1;Psychology and psilosophy;408
17.2;Paranormal phenomena;412
17.3;Suggested references;424
17.4;General references;425
18;EPILOGUE;426
19;APPENDIX TABLES;430
20;AUTHOR INDEX;456
21;SUBJECT INDEX;460