Bayesian Statistics and Quality Modelling in the Agro-Food Production Chain

2004
ISBN: 978-1-4020-1917-3
Verlag: Springer Netherlands

Buch, Englisch, Band 3, 163 Seiten, Format (B × H): 155 mm x 233 mm, Gewicht: 269 g

Reihe: Wageningen UR Frontis Series

The food market is changing from a producer-controlled to a consumer-directed market. A main driving force is consumer concern about agricultural production methods and food safety. More than before, the consumer demands transparency of the production and processing chain.
A food chain can be quite complex and the use of models has become indispensable to handle this complexity. Modelling tools are becoming increasingly important to guide the decisions for production of high-quality and safe agricultural foods. With the aid of models it becomes possible to control and predict quality attributes, so that product innovation can be done more efficiently. However, quality is an elusive concept, and there is always an aspect of subjectivity and uncertainty.
A novel approach in the agro-food chain would be to tackle subjective elements and uncertainty in modelling by using Bayesian statistics and Bayesian Belief Networks. Bayesian approaches use prior probabilities (partly accounting for subjectivity) to estimate posterior probabilities, resulting in higher accuracy than is possible with classical statistical techniques. Thus, the variability and uncertainty in data and decisions, inherent in a complex food chain, can be dealt with.

Zielgruppe

Research

Autoren/Hrsg.

Boekel, M. A. J. S. van

Bruggen, A. H. C. van

Stein, A.

Fachgebiete

• Wirtschaftswissenschaften Wirtschaftssektoren & Branchen Primärer Sektor Agrarökonomie, Ernährungswirtschaft
• Mathematik | Informatik Mathematik Stochastik Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung
• Naturwissenschaften Chemie Physikalische Chemie
• Naturwissenschaften Chemie Chemie Allgemein
• Technische Wissenschaften Technik Allgemein Mathematik für Ingenieure
• Interdisziplinäres Wissenschaften Wissenschaften Interdisziplinär Ökotrophologie (Ernährungs- und Haushaltswissenschaften)
• Interdisziplinäres Wissenschaften Wissenschaften: Forschung und Information Datenanalyse, Datenverarbeitung
• Technische Wissenschaften Verfahrenstechnik | Chemieingenieurwesen | Biotechnologie Lebensmitteltechnologie und Getränketechnologie
• Mathematik | Informatik Mathematik Stochastik Mathematische Statistik

Inhaltsverzeichnis

From the contents:
Preface.- Introduction to Bayesian statistics.- Methodology.- Bayesian approaches to quality and safety in primary food production.- Bayesian approaches to quality and safety in food technology.- Bayesian approaches in the food chain, nutrition and epidemiology.- List of participants.